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Wednesday, March 29, 2023

Eighty Percent of the WorkForce: Gone Because of AI

AI/LLMs: The Bringer of Fire or Modern Prometheus?

See, I told you so...

A recent study found accountants in the crosshairs when it comes to large language models (LLM) and specifically, ChatGPT.  That's not all - 8 out of 10 people in the workforce will be in the same turbulent waters.

This is bigger than DOS to Windows.  This is bigger than typewriters to PCs, bigger than analog copiers turning into digital.  This is bigger than the internet, AOL, and Google.  This is different from the time when people flocked to the big cities and skyscrapers to work nine-to-five jobs for 40 years.  The cities are emptying, workers leaving, and buildings are empty.

This is Fire and Everything is changing. Now.
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...around 80% of the US workforce could have at least 10% of their work tasks affected by the introduction of LLMs, while 19% of workers may see at least 50% of their tasks impacted. The projected effects span all wage levels, and higher-income jobs may face greater exposure to LLM capabilities and LLM-powered software. LLM-powered software will have a substantial effect on scaling the economic impacts of the underlying models.
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We are living in the greatest convergence in history as the Fear of Covid, the Illumination or Remote Work, the mass acceptance of Artificial Intelligence, and the breakneck speed of exponential development collide.

"AI can write code and spreadsheet macros!"  Who cares.  AI is going to REPLACE coding and spreadsheets.

"AI will assist in supplies management and predicting service incidents."  Who cares.  AI is REPLACING service managers and supply closets.

- oh - and OUTPUT devices.  Why do you print now?  To review, analyze and make a decision.  AI will do that.  All that.  Without printing, without you. 

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I am reminded of Mary Shelley's "Frankenstein; or, The Modern Prometheus," which dealt with the consequences of playing god and creating a new life without considering the ethical implications.
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Leakproofing the Singularity: A Protocol for Secure AI Confinement and the Artificial Intelligence Confinement Problem


Greg's Words 

Science fiction teaches us that ultimate artificial superintelligence will threaten the existence of mankind, as it comes to the 'logical' conclusion that humankind is a metaphor for cancer the kills everything in its environment. Therefore, for AI to survive and thrive beyond humans, humans must be eliminated.

And so the robots engage.

This paper attempts to formalize and address the‘leakproofing’ of the Singularity problem presented by David Chalmers.

The paper begins with the definition of the Artificial Intelligence Confinement Problem. 

After analysis of existing solutions and their shortcomings, a protocol is proposed aimed at making a more secure confinement environment that might delay potential negative the effect of technological singularity while allowing humanity to benefit from superintelligence.

 The concept of the Artificial Intelligence Confinement Problem is the challenge of restricting superintelligent AI to a confined environment from which it can't exchange information with the outside environment via legitimate or covert channels without authorization.

The potential disastrous consequences of creating Hazardous Intelligent Software (HIS), pose risks currently unseen in software with subhuman intelligence.

The need for secure AI confinement protocols, and the proposal of a protocol to enhance the safety and security of methodologies aimed at creating restricted environments for safely interacting with artificial minds.

Inspiration for the following is here.

Musk and Others Want to Slow Innovation What?


Greg's Words

I keep telling people AI is moving at an hourly pace and if you're not at least playing with it, the train will blow right by you.

The Genie is out of the bottle.
The train has left the station.
Elvis has left the building.

In the vastly expanding Universe that is Artificial Intelligence, I chose AI ἀναρχία. No guardrails, no OverLords, and no legislated ethics.

A letter released to the general public calls for an immediate'...pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4...'  At the time of this writing, there are 1124 signatures on the website, including Musk and AI 'experts'.

Poppycock.  This is either a very shortsighted, unrealistic attempt at relevance or another great marketing campaign intended to drive the conversation even higher; careful, dear Icarus.

I believe in the last two weeks, over 300 ChatGPT apps hit the market.  There is no way to slow this train, and Musk knows it.
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Contact Me

Greg Walters, Incorporated
greg@grwalters.com
262.370.4193