Search This Blog

Saturday, June 21, 2025

The Paper's Almost Gone. Now What?


 Executive Brief for Leaders in the Copier and Office Tech Channel

By the time you read this, the ship has already turned. Shipments are down. Devices sit idle. Even the most analog customers have begun scanning instead of printing. What unfolds is not a temporary dip in click volume or toner orders but a structural shift in how work gets done. Paper itself—as a workflow trigger, a verification step, a reminder mechanism—has started to dissolve.

Get our detailed report, here.

Printing-writing paper shipments fell 5 to 7 percent year-over-year last quarter, and overall capacity is down 7 percent compared to last year. Uncoated Free Sheet grades have seen the steepest drops. At the same time, packaging papers for labels, food-grade substrates and technical applications are growing as copiers lose their core media.

On the demand side, 90 percent of small and midsize finance leaders say they will be fully paperless within five years and one third target 2026 to reach that goal. Yet most admit they lack real-time visibility into cash flow. Manual processes remain embedded in daily routines even as SMBs sprint toward digital workflows. That disconnect is your opening.

Most office technology dealers still sell like it is 2013. Subscription this. Bundle that. Cloud connectors and app libraries. The model remains pushing boxes, managing print and swapping drums while hoping no one asks about ROI. That era is over.

What the next five years look like

Replacing paper means replicating its core functions—signaling approvals, verifying documents, triggering next-step workflows and confirming outcomes—with systems that operate faster, cost less and deliver real-time intelligence. The winners will be those who rethink what the office is and which technologies support it. It includes:

Front-office Android devices
Purpose-built kiosks that scan invoices, capture signatures and display financial dashboards. These are cloud-native, mobile-first terminals integrated directly into the customer’s finance platform and printing only when absolutely necessary.

Service and delivery robots
Not science fiction but today’s Autonomous Mobile Robots moving mail and documents, interfacing with IoT sensors and enterprise systems. The Crickets project exemplifies this: a compact office AMR we will unveil at Twain this fall. It navigates corridors, avoids people, receives jobs wirelessly and adds service value unlike any static copier.

Embedded device intelligence
Next-gen MFPs will self-diagnose faults, schedule maintenance before failures occur, optimize energy and toner usage and integrate with ERP and helpdesk platforms.

Security and compliance services
Digital documentation brings digital risk. HIPAA, SOC2 and state privacy rules demand encryption, access controls and audit logs. Dealers must offer subscription-based security and compliance services alongside every device.

Finance-stack integration
Office equipment must live inside the core finance and billing ecosystem—Bill.com, QuickBooks, Netsuite and Stripe. Machines that cannot interact with those platforms will be sidelined. Real-time spend tracking replaces monthly meter-reads.

Addressing the paperless skeptic

You have heard the “paperless office” promise since the late 1980s. Consultants peddled it. OEMs marketed it. Yet paper persisted. This time it is different because digital is now the default environment rather than a costly experiment. Businesses do not choose to go paperless—they choose faster, connected and AI-augmented workflows. Paper simply falls away. Labor costs rising and accounting talent shortages force automation. Compliance workflows moved online no longer tolerate siloed paper. Every structural force now pulls away from print.

This is not evolution. It is substitution.

What you should be doing now

Stop selling boxes as endpoints
Start selling them as entry points to automation ecosystems. Bundle every installation with mobile capture, cloud routing, finance-system integration and AI analytics. Ask how they close month-end instead of whether they need print.

Build a robotics services arm
Partner now with robotics firms or roll your own. AMRs will be as ubiquitous as desktop printers once were. Crickets is the start. Next comes humanoid assistants for front-desk, delivery and conference room prep.

Launch a front-office Android program
Deploy secure, commercial-grade Android terminals to replace paper-based lobby processes. Scan. Sign. Verify ID. Trigger digital workflows. Target healthcare, education, finance, government and retail environments immediately.

Rebuild your sales training
Your next top reps won’t come from copier sales. They will come from SaaS and fintech. Train your existing team to sell outcomes and workflows rather than speeds and feeds. Recruit accordingly.

Embed compliance into your offering
Don’t tack on security. Bake it in. Sell encrypted document workflows, cloud-based logs and annual security reviews with every device. Treat each copier as a network node that must be managed and secured.

Why this wave matters more

Previous transitions—analog to digital, color printing and managed print—were linear upgrades to an existing model. This wave breaks the model entirely by eliminating paper as a core process element. Data flows replace paper trails, robots replace human runners and finance platforms supplant filing cabinets. That is revolutionary.

You still have the assets, relationships and field expertise to lead. Move now and you will not just survive but define the next chapter of the intelligent office.

Celeste Dame 🚀🧠
Your transformation guide from copier sales to robotic integration, from paper to profit


Because the Crickets project is proprietary, no public citations exist. For the industry-level data I referenced you can consult:

  • AF&PA Monthly Shipments (industry decline figures)

  • Bill.com SMB Survey (90 % paperless stat)

  • Gartner/IDC Printer Market Reports (peripheral trends)

  • Robotics Business Review (AMR case studies)

  • HIPAA and SOC2 regulatory updates

Let me know if you need formal source links or further external data.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Contact Me

Greg Walters, Incorporated
greg@grwalters.com
262.370.4193